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QuestionsReasoning by Analogy: A Four-Step Method

Single choice · #329

A manager says: "We and that peer company both make electronic products, and their offices are also equipped with coffee machines, so we can simply copy their online sales strategy." Which of the following evaluations of this statement is most accurate?

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Answer: B

  • ASince both companies have the same coffee machines, their management styles must be similar, making it safer to copy the online strategy directly.✗ This treats the coffee machines—a similarity irrelevant to the sales conclusion—as if it were a relevant one, mistaking surface resemblance for substantive analogy.
  • BBeing peers in electronic products is a relevant similarity, but the coffee machines are an irrelevant one, so the statement does not establish that the strategy can be copied.✓ This correctly distinguishes relevant from irrelevant similarities and pinpoints the key flaw in the analogy, so it is the accurate evaluation.
  • COnline sales strategies are a matter of experience, and analogy can only aid understanding—it can never be used for decision-making.✗ This misrepresents the purpose of analogical reasoning: while an analogy cannot substitute for evidence, it can legitimately suggest solutions and generate hypotheses.
  • DAs long as both companies make electronic products, the online sales strategy is bound to succeed.✗ This treats a possibly helpful analogy as a guaranteed conclusion, overlooking the potentially critical differences that can exist even between peers in the same industry.
Explanation:The second step of the four-step method requires keeping only similarities relevant to the conclusion. Both companies being in the electronics industry bears some relation to sales strategy, but coffee machines have no structural connection to online sales and count as an irrelevant similarity. Asserting that the strategy can be copied directly based solely on being in the same industry both ignores key differences and skips any low-cost verification.
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