Single choice · #157
General Manager Zhang proposes opening a branch in a new city. He sets the general principle: "A city with potential is worth establishing a presence in," then only cites favorable data such as large local population and big market, while remaining silent on the facts of two strong competitors and high cross-province management costs. From the perspective of the five-step logical closure method, what is the main problem with this report?
Show answer & explanation
Answer: C
- AThe conclusion is unclear; it does not specify what kind of branch to open.✗ Incorrect. The conclusion, "opening a branch in a new city," is already clear; the problem lies not in the conclusion itself.
- BThe general principle is unreasonable; "potential" should not be the criterion for establishment.✗ Incorrect. The general principle itself has some validity; the real issue is that only facts supporting the conclusion are selected, without aligning with the complete conditions that should be evaluated according to the principle.
- COnly facts favoring the conclusion are listed, without enumerating specific facts corresponding to each condition in the principle.✓ Correct. "A city with potential" should at least include multiple conditions such as market size, competitive environment, and management costs. Zhang only discusses favorable aspects, which is a typical case of cherry-picking favorable data.
- DNo pilot or stop-loss criteria are set; if it fails, there is no way to exit.✗ Incorrect. Although checking exceptions and boundaries is important, the core deficiency described is the third step's failure to list specific facts for each condition in the principle, not the fifth step.
Explanation:In the stem, Zhang has already provided the conclusion and general principle, but the third step requires listing specific facts corresponding to each condition in the principle. He only selects favorable data and conceals unfavorable facts such as fierce competition and high management costs, preventing decision-makers from judging whether the city truly meets the conditions for establishment.