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QuestionsFact, Opinion, and Inference

Single choice · #102

Neighbor Aunt Wang was scammed out of 500 yuan in an online purchase. She tells everyone she meets: "I'll never trust online shopping again—everything sold online is fake, and there are no honest online merchants." Given the lack of evidence, what can this statement currently be called at most?

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Answer: B

  • AA fact✗ Incorrect. The verifiable fact is only her single experience of being scammed for 500 yuan; the claim that "everything online is fake" cannot be verified through observation or reliable sources. This overgeneralizes one experience into a universal truth.
  • BA hypothesis✓ Correct. With only one experience, the sample is insufficient to confirm that "everything online is fake." A hypothesis is not inherently bad, but it must be testable and open to refutation.
  • CA principle verified by ample samples✗ Incorrect. Her basis is only one incident, far from an ample sample, and it completely ignores the counterexamples of numerous honest online merchants.
  • DA deductive conclusion necessarily derived from a general rule✗ Incorrect. Deductive reasoning requires a generally accepted true rule as a premise; here no such rule exists. This mistake treats a guess as rigorous reasoning.
Explanation:The only fact Aunt Wang can confirm is that she was scammed in an online purchase for 500 yuan. The claim that "everything online is fake and there are no honest merchants" is a judgment that extends from a single event to the whole, with severely insufficient evidence and ignored counterexamples. Therefore, it can at most be called a hypothesis. A hypothesis can be proposed, but it must be testable and open to refutation; it cannot be treated as a fact, nor as a verified principle or a necessary conclusion.
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